Completely dominant in the first half of the campaign, Na𝔉poli are in at 4/9 to lift the Scudetto at the end of the season.
Behind them, a fierce battle for the top four is expected with second 🎃place Milan only six points ahead of Roma in seventh.
Verona, Sampdoria and Cremonese have been cut adrift at the bottom with a six-point gap between 18th and Spezia in 17th. All🥀 three of those teams are odds-on for the drop.
While there are some sizeable gaps bet🔯ween teams already, there is a long way to go iไn this Serie A season with just 15 of 38 matches played so far. ;
Winner: Napoli
Aiming✤ for just their third Scudetto and first since 1990, Napoli are under pressure when the season resumes. The expectation is enormous, ꦯand their rate of 2.73 points per match is clearly unsustainable.
Theꦏre is no question that the club from Naples have been Italy’s stron꧒gest side, though. The attack grabs the headlines, but the defence has been resolute when required, too.
Matches against Inter and Juventus before the halfway mark of January are huge. Take two positive results ꦏthere, and Luciaꦆno Spalletti’s side might be able to cruise to the finish line. ;
Relegation: Spezia
A draw with Udinese followed by a win over Verona in their last two matches made Spezia more comfortable. It 𝕴has, however, been a very diffic🧸ult season for the Aquilotti.
Only the bottom two have conced🌠ed more goals. Their -0.69 expected goal difference per 90 is just 0.03 bett🀅er than the worst mark in the league.
Spezia face Atalan﷽ta and Roma in two of their next four league matches, and had not picked up even a point away from home until the win over Veroꦺna.
A six-point advantage over Cremonese in 18th is significant given how mightily the bottom three have struggled, buꦺt Spezia’s performances have been very similar to th🌳e sides currently in the relegation zone.
Even with the points on the board, there is vꦛalue here.
Top Assists: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Georgian winger Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has takeౠ𒅌n Serie A by storm.
Shining in domestic and continental action, the Tbilisi native ranks in the 97th percentile in expected assists and 95th percentile in shot-creating actions.
Kvara▨tskhelia has five league assists to his🍌 name already, putting him just two off the league lead held by Sergej Milinkovic-Savic. He is third behind teammate Piotr Zielinski and Gerard Deulofeu on the expected assist leaderboard.
If he stays fit, Kvaratskhelia’s ball-carrying ability is going to cr♐eate countless chances for teammates. Napoli have shown they are clinical enough to take advantage of those opportunities.
Top Four: Roma
Roma are only three points off fourth despite winning just onc🅠e in their last five leagu🅘e matches.
Jose Mourinho’s side b🐽oast the joint-best expected goal difference per 90, but have underachieved those numbers at both ends of the♍ pitch.
A team-wide finishing slump is not going to continue throughout the season, particulওarly for players of the calibre of Ta🍌mmy Abraham, Andrea Belotti, Nicolo Zaniolo and Lorenzo Pellegrini.
At the other end of the pitch, Mourinho’s trademark defensive organisation has 🐼largely worked, but they might just need a bit more luck.
With so little separating the chasing pack, there is great value backing 🅰I Giallorossi for the top four.
The biggest threat to this wager is ꦍMourinho departing for the Portugal vacancy, though it has been rumoured that he could do both jobs ♔in parallel.
Top Goalscorer: Victor Osimhen
Top of the charts with nine goals, Victor Osimhen is unsurprisingly the favourite to finish as top goalscorer. Four players are within two goals of the Nigeria striker, though, and💦 he has never scored mor💃e than 14 in a league season.
Fitness is the issue with Osimhen. He ha𓄧s made 39 starts over his two full seasons with Napoli, and has started 10 of 15 Serie A fixtures in 2022-23.
If Napoli build an evℱen greater lead, he could be protected for the Champions Lওeague, which will hurt his candidacy for the Capocannoniere award.
It is wide open at the moment, however. Unlike the last half-decade or so, a tally in the low twenties should 🌳be enough to finish as tꦏop goalscorer. ;
With Napoli’s attack looking so potent, and Osimhen sitting third in expected goals, he is the best value as it stands.&nbsꦺp;
It is worth noting that when fit, he is an incredibly reliable produce⭕r both in chance quality and goal totals.
All odds are subject to change
